In [1]:
%matplotlib inline

import dateutil.parser
import datetime
import matplotlib.dates as mdates

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import tensorflow as tf
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt

from tensorflow.contrib import learn

from pymongo import MongoClient
from bson.objectid import ObjectId

from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error

from lstm import lstm_model
from data_processing import generate_data, load_csvdata

In [2]:
LOG_DIR = './ops_logs/lstm_weather'
TIMESTEPS = 10
RNN_LAYERS = [{'num_units': 5}]
DENSE_LAYERS = [10, 10]
TRAINING_STEPS = 100000
BATCH_SIZE = 100
PRINT_STEPS = TRAINING_STEPS / 100

Transform QCLCD Data Function


In [3]:
# downloaded weather data from http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/qclcd/QCLCD
def load_weather_frame(filename):
    #load the weather data and make a date
    data_raw = pd.read_csv(filename, dtype={'Time': str, 'Date': str})
    data_raw['WetBulbCelsius'] = data_raw['WetBulbCelsius'].astype(float)
    times = []
    for index, row in data_raw.iterrows():
        _t = datetime.time(int(row['Time'][:2]), int(row['Time'][:-2]), 0) #2153
        _d = datetime.datetime.strptime( row['Date'], "%Y%m%d" ) #20150905
        times.append(datetime.datetime.combine(_d, _t))

    data_raw['_time'] = pd.Series(times, index=data_raw.index)
    df =  pd.DataFrame(data_raw, columns=['_time','WetBulbCelsius'])
    return df.set_index('_time')

Load The Data as CSV

This is QCLCD data for PDX. It is what will be used to train the model.


In [4]:
# scale values to reasonable values and convert to float
data_weather = load_weather_frame("data/QCLCD_PDX_20150901.csv")
X, y = load_csvdata(data_weather, TIMESTEPS, seperate=False)

Run The Model and Fit Predictions


In [5]:
regressor = learn.SKCompat(learn.Estimator(
    model_fn=lstm_model(
        TIMESTEPS,
        RNN_LAYERS,
        DENSE_LAYERS
    ),
    model_dir=LOG_DIR
))


INFO:tensorflow:Using default config.
INFO:tensorflow:Using config: {'_model_dir': None, '_save_checkpoints_secs': 600, '_num_ps_replicas': 0, '_keep_checkpoint_max': 5, '_tf_random_seed': None, '_task_type': None, '_environment': 'local', '_is_chief': True, '_cluster_spec': <tensorflow.python.training.server_lib.ClusterSpec object at 0x7f8d909fb910>, '_tf_config': gpu_options {
  per_process_gpu_memory_fraction: 1.0
}
, '_num_worker_replicas': 0, '_task_id': 0, '_save_summary_steps': 100, '_save_checkpoints_steps': None, '_evaluation_master': '', '_keep_checkpoint_every_n_hours': 10000, '_master': ''}

In [6]:
# create a lstm instance and validation monitor
validation_monitor = learn.monitors.ValidationMonitor(X['val'], y['val'],
                                                     every_n_steps=PRINT_STEPS,
                                                     early_stopping_rounds=1000)
regressor.fit(X['train'], y['train'],
              monitors=[validation_monitor],
              batch_size=BATCH_SIZE,
              steps=TRAINING_STEPS)

predicted = regressor.predict(X['test'])


WARNING:tensorflow:From /usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/tensorflow/contrib/learn/python/learn/monitors.py:267: __init__ (from tensorflow.contrib.learn.python.learn.monitors) is deprecated and will be removed after 2016-12-05.
Instructions for updating:
Monitors are deprecated. Please use tf.train.SessionRunHook.
WARNING:tensorflow:From /usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/tensorflow/contrib/learn/python/learn/models.py:107: mean_squared_error_regressor (from tensorflow.contrib.learn.python.learn.ops.losses_ops) is deprecated and will be removed after 2016-12-01.
Instructions for updating:
Use `tf.contrib.losses.mean_squared_error` and explicit logits computation.
WARNING:tensorflow:From /usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/tensorflow/contrib/learn/python/learn/ops/losses_ops.py:39: mean_squared_error (from tensorflow.contrib.losses.python.losses.loss_ops) is deprecated and will be removed after 2016-12-30.
Instructions for updating:
Use tf.losses.mean_squared_error instead.
WARNING:tensorflow:From /usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/tensorflow/contrib/losses/python/losses/loss_ops.py:539: compute_weighted_loss (from tensorflow.contrib.losses.python.losses.loss_ops) is deprecated and will be removed after 2016-12-30.
Instructions for updating:
Use tf.losses.compute_weighted_loss instead.
WARNING:tensorflow:From /usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/tensorflow/contrib/losses/python/losses/loss_ops.py:151: add_loss (from tensorflow.contrib.losses.python.losses.loss_ops) is deprecated and will be removed after 2016-12-30.
Instructions for updating:
Use tf.losses.add_loss instead.
INFO:tensorflow:Create CheckpointSaverHook.
INFO:tensorflow:Restoring parameters from ./ops_logs/lstm_weather/model.ckpt-100000
INFO:tensorflow:Saving checkpoints for 100001 into ./ops_logs/lstm_weather/model.ckpt.
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.198107, step = 100001
WARNING:tensorflow:From /usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/tensorflow/contrib/learn/python/learn/monitors.py:662: calling evaluate (from tensorflow.contrib.learn.python.learn.estimators.estimator) with y is deprecated and will be removed after 2016-12-01.
Instructions for updating:
Estimator is decoupled from Scikit Learn interface by moving into
separate class SKCompat. Arguments x, y and batch_size are only
available in the SKCompat class, Estimator will only accept input_fn.
Example conversion:
  est = Estimator(...) -> est = SKCompat(Estimator(...))
WARNING:tensorflow:From /usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/tensorflow/contrib/learn/python/learn/monitors.py:662: calling evaluate (from tensorflow.contrib.learn.python.learn.estimators.estimator) with x is deprecated and will be removed after 2016-12-01.
Instructions for updating:
Estimator is decoupled from Scikit Learn interface by moving into
separate class SKCompat. Arguments x, y and batch_size are only
available in the SKCompat class, Estimator will only accept input_fn.
Example conversion:
  est = Estimator(...) -> est = SKCompat(Estimator(...))
WARNING:tensorflow:From /usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/tensorflow/contrib/learn/python/learn/models.py:107: mean_squared_error_regressor (from tensorflow.contrib.learn.python.learn.ops.losses_ops) is deprecated and will be removed after 2016-12-01.
Instructions for updating:
Use `tf.contrib.losses.mean_squared_error` and explicit logits computation.
WARNING:tensorflow:From /usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/tensorflow/contrib/learn/python/learn/ops/losses_ops.py:39: mean_squared_error (from tensorflow.contrib.losses.python.losses.loss_ops) is deprecated and will be removed after 2016-12-30.
Instructions for updating:
Use tf.losses.mean_squared_error instead.
WARNING:tensorflow:From /usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/tensorflow/contrib/losses/python/losses/loss_ops.py:539: compute_weighted_loss (from tensorflow.contrib.losses.python.losses.loss_ops) is deprecated and will be removed after 2016-12-30.
Instructions for updating:
Use tf.losses.compute_weighted_loss instead.
WARNING:tensorflow:From /usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/tensorflow/contrib/losses/python/losses/loss_ops.py:151: add_loss (from tensorflow.contrib.losses.python.losses.loss_ops) is deprecated and will be removed after 2016-12-30.
Instructions for updating:
Use tf.losses.add_loss instead.
INFO:tensorflow:Starting evaluation at 2017-06-23-02:58:10
INFO:tensorflow:Restoring parameters from ./ops_logs/lstm_weather/model.ckpt-100001
INFO:tensorflow:Finished evaluation at 2017-06-23-02:58:10
INFO:tensorflow:Saving dict for global step 100001: global_step = 100001, loss = 0.147549
WARNING:tensorflow:Skipping summary for global_step, must be a float or np.float32.
INFO:tensorflow:Validation (step 100001): loss = 0.147549, global_step = 100001
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 73.8054
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.232113, step = 100101 (1.356 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 383.278
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.245043, step = 100201 (0.261 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 523.21
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.29345, step = 100301 (0.191 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 519.604
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.198635, step = 100401 (0.192 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 548.673
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.174668, step = 100501 (0.182 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 502.058
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.233283, step = 100601 (0.199 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 569.35
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.197275, step = 100701 (0.176 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 547.549
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.192045, step = 100801 (0.183 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 552.059
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.259165, step = 100901 (0.181 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 557.603
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.207421, step = 101001 (0.180 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 543.425
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.191576, step = 101101 (0.184 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 543.354
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.235745, step = 101201 (0.184 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 507.746
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.179108, step = 101301 (0.197 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 534.208
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.209948, step = 101401 (0.187 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 555.929
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.239748, step = 101501 (0.180 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 541.642
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.20222, step = 101601 (0.185 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 524.727
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.206883, step = 101701 (0.191 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 546.654
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.183927, step = 101801 (0.183 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 558.101
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.197307, step = 101901 (0.179 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 517.703
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.270146, step = 102001 (0.193 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 545.557
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.281118, step = 102101 (0.183 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 478.985
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.225038, step = 102201 (0.209 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 574.026
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.201878, step = 102301 (0.174 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 510.999
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.27336, step = 102401 (0.196 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 547.813
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.17788, step = 102501 (0.182 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 566.746
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.199143, step = 102601 (0.177 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 546.006
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.217345, step = 102701 (0.183 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 468.376
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.191515, step = 102801 (0.214 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 525.188
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.179646, step = 102901 (0.191 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 545.983
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.298378, step = 103001 (0.183 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 508.2
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.166484, step = 103101 (0.197 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 531.149
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.170688, step = 103201 (0.188 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 545.777
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.229359, step = 103301 (0.183 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 501.213
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.201423, step = 103401 (0.199 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 521.382
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.181493, step = 103501 (0.192 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 541.342
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.208583, step = 103601 (0.185 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 558.225
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.280774, step = 103701 (0.179 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 569.415
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.220926, step = 103801 (0.176 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 473.108
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.21631, step = 103901 (0.211 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 546.649
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.21958, step = 104001 (0.183 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 549.931
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.169769, step = 104101 (0.182 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 394.056
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.229129, step = 104201 (0.254 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 471.218
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.21783, step = 104301 (0.212 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 539.27
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.200531, step = 104401 (0.186 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 504.701
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.25444, step = 104501 (0.198 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 532.816
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.169029, step = 104601 (0.188 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 535.512
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.227719, step = 104701 (0.187 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 563.047
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.27664, step = 104801 (0.177 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 551.965
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.230324, step = 104901 (0.181 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 535.535
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.256652, step = 105001 (0.187 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 511.026
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.20605, step = 105101 (0.196 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 528.751
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.201281, step = 105201 (0.189 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 494.971
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.251274, step = 105301 (0.202 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 533.643
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.284297, step = 105401 (0.187 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 530.186
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.209897, step = 105501 (0.189 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 514.88
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.187135, step = 105601 (0.194 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 529.978
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.244295, step = 105701 (0.189 sec)
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INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.222726, step = 105801 (0.239 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 531.313
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.20681, step = 105901 (0.188 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 558.216
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.236496, step = 106001 (0.179 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 553.293
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.162674, step = 106101 (0.181 sec)
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INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.20746, step = 106201 (0.175 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 554.85
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.296764, step = 106301 (0.180 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 516.465
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.257816, step = 106401 (0.195 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 500.791
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.222896, step = 106501 (0.198 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 547.051
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.279714, step = 106601 (0.183 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 546.962
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.153922, step = 106701 (0.183 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 530.431
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.23853, step = 106801 (0.188 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 513.608
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.16979, step = 106901 (0.195 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 509.095
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.211093, step = 107001 (0.197 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 534.587
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.192991, step = 107101 (0.187 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 547.418
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.212599, step = 107201 (0.183 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 528.669
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.232608, step = 107301 (0.189 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 401.41
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.221904, step = 107401 (0.249 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 499.373
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.260939, step = 107501 (0.200 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 518.234
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.307094, step = 107601 (0.193 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 480.296
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.219345, step = 107701 (0.208 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 476.161
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.185853, step = 107801 (0.210 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 536.377
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.238673, step = 107901 (0.186 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 559.472
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.178664, step = 108001 (0.179 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 524.582
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.227613, step = 108101 (0.191 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 382.123
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.23031, step = 108201 (0.261 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 457.009
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.225227, step = 108301 (0.219 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 522.761
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.25357, step = 108401 (0.191 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 542.923
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.204606, step = 108501 (0.184 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 491.316
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.200451, step = 108601 (0.204 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 523.697
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.224963, step = 108701 (0.190 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 476.819
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.181233, step = 108801 (0.210 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 418.852
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.230678, step = 108901 (0.239 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 549.185
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.185522, step = 109001 (0.182 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 551.779
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.157439, step = 109101 (0.181 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 401.571
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.233935, step = 109201 (0.249 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 471.031
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.18268, step = 109301 (0.212 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 535.843
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.29276, step = 109401 (0.186 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 367.862
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.199491, step = 109501 (0.272 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 446.598
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.280125, step = 109601 (0.224 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 452.987
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.282484, step = 109701 (0.221 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 396.828
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.265734, step = 109801 (0.252 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 448.055
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.30661, step = 109901 (0.223 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 442.507
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.185998, step = 110001 (0.226 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 462.942
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.136099, step = 110101 (0.216 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 491.198
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.21871, step = 110201 (0.204 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 503.75
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.205369, step = 110301 (0.198 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 497.354
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.186659, step = 110401 (0.201 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 496.734
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.227656, step = 110501 (0.201 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 518.979
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.222456, step = 110601 (0.193 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 384.698
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.162802, step = 110701 (0.260 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 317.902
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.210333, step = 110801 (0.315 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 495.712
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.223871, step = 110901 (0.202 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 457.015
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.206736, step = 111001 (0.219 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 355.862
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.200484, step = 111101 (0.281 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 495.194
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.249349, step = 111201 (0.202 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 472.42
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.184479, step = 111301 (0.212 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 499.106
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.226199, step = 111401 (0.200 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 496.692
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.223665, step = 111501 (0.201 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 511.561
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INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 393.823
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.231449, step = 111701 (0.254 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 480.562
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INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 428.826
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INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 469.417
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.198765, step = 112001 (0.213 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 485.352
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.271067, step = 112101 (0.206 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 386.512
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.193965, step = 112201 (0.259 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 464.537
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.208069, step = 112301 (0.215 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 463.1
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.172712, step = 112401 (0.216 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 451.129
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.208218, step = 112501 (0.222 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 423.357
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.165711, step = 112601 (0.236 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 449.725
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.246768, step = 112701 (0.223 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 379.173
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.236133, step = 112801 (0.263 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 465.037
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.176818, step = 112901 (0.215 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 464.876
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.26969, step = 113001 (0.215 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 414.516
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.213294, step = 113101 (0.243 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 409.562
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.177183, step = 113201 (0.243 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 449.454
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.211031, step = 113301 (0.223 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 429.468
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.200776, step = 113401 (0.232 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 491.207
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.170007, step = 113501 (0.204 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 476.888
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INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 533.869
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INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 516.334
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.209783, step = 192801 (0.193 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 532.944
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.234837, step = 192901 (0.188 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 496.396
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.227246, step = 193001 (0.201 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 537.057
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.260381, step = 193101 (0.186 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 545.598
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.20475, step = 193201 (0.183 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 522.947
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.220157, step = 193301 (0.191 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 522.881
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.153409, step = 193401 (0.191 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 496.504
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.191605, step = 193501 (0.201 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 495.504
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.198203, step = 193601 (0.202 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 536.866
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.196749, step = 193701 (0.186 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 545.593
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.188217, step = 193801 (0.183 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 507.869
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.194318, step = 193901 (0.197 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 518.358
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.229695, step = 194001 (0.193 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 510.285
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.254785, step = 194101 (0.196 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 501.94
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.28525, step = 194201 (0.199 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 499.753
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.198431, step = 194301 (0.204 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 525.166
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.252969, step = 194401 (0.187 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 517.754
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.223127, step = 194501 (0.193 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 523.919
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.229531, step = 194601 (0.191 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 546.442
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.197176, step = 194701 (0.183 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 539.544
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.159416, step = 194801 (0.185 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 558.219
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.23909, step = 194901 (0.179 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 534.41
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.236096, step = 195001 (0.187 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 531.618
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.230091, step = 195101 (0.188 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 547.744
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.244952, step = 195201 (0.182 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 527.936
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.196662, step = 195301 (0.190 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 530.548
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.298503, step = 195401 (0.189 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 494.697
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.305266, step = 195501 (0.201 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 527.037
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.189876, step = 195601 (0.190 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 512.618
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.227363, step = 195701 (0.195 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 542.479
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.238926, step = 195801 (0.184 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 553.752
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.215529, step = 195901 (0.180 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 540.535
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.160458, step = 196001 (0.185 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 551.225
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.222865, step = 196101 (0.181 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 512.808
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.272122, step = 196201 (0.195 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 535.306
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.221531, step = 196301 (0.187 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 526.053
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.269222, step = 196401 (0.190 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 543.552
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.199574, step = 196501 (0.184 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 544.336
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.187047, step = 196601 (0.184 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 512.971
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.210368, step = 196701 (0.195 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 532.584
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.167186, step = 196801 (0.188 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 520.779
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.306849, step = 196901 (0.192 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 534.359
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.210014, step = 197001 (0.187 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 542.005
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.237138, step = 197101 (0.184 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 552.227
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.236061, step = 197201 (0.181 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 557.454
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.191805, step = 197301 (0.179 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 534.617
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.206435, step = 197401 (0.187 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 524.007
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.218886, step = 197501 (0.190 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 555.96
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.245679, step = 197601 (0.180 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 550.107
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.164701, step = 197701 (0.182 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 549.514
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.256764, step = 197801 (0.182 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 510.276
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.211446, step = 197901 (0.196 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 526.857
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.196332, step = 198001 (0.190 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 504.086
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.266162, step = 198101 (0.198 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 531.107
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.238168, step = 198201 (0.188 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 516.82
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.168849, step = 198301 (0.194 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 518.715
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.204961, step = 198401 (0.193 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 530.282
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.254896, step = 198501 (0.189 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 522.062
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.217431, step = 198601 (0.192 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 544.236
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.164767, step = 198701 (0.184 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 525.472
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.254297, step = 198801 (0.190 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 532.822
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.204908, step = 198901 (0.188 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 533.086
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.233216, step = 199001 (0.187 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 511.509
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.239908, step = 199101 (0.195 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 543.529
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.214542, step = 199201 (0.184 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 532.654
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.245222, step = 199301 (0.188 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 541.439
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.210748, step = 199401 (0.185 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 530.785
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.267614, step = 199501 (0.188 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 521.368
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.198423, step = 199601 (0.192 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 543.747
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.193262, step = 199701 (0.184 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 533.205
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.230032, step = 199801 (0.188 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:global_step/sec: 518.731
INFO:tensorflow:loss = 0.225829, step = 199901 (0.193 sec)
INFO:tensorflow:Saving checkpoints for 200000 into ./ops_logs/lstm_weather/model.ckpt.
INFO:tensorflow:Loss for final step: 0.201507.
WARNING:tensorflow:From /usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/tensorflow/contrib/learn/python/learn/models.py:107: mean_squared_error_regressor (from tensorflow.contrib.learn.python.learn.ops.losses_ops) is deprecated and will be removed after 2016-12-01.
Instructions for updating:
Use `tf.contrib.losses.mean_squared_error` and explicit logits computation.
WARNING:tensorflow:From /usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/tensorflow/contrib/learn/python/learn/ops/losses_ops.py:39: mean_squared_error (from tensorflow.contrib.losses.python.losses.loss_ops) is deprecated and will be removed after 2016-12-30.
Instructions for updating:
Use tf.losses.mean_squared_error instead.
WARNING:tensorflow:From /usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/tensorflow/contrib/losses/python/losses/loss_ops.py:539: compute_weighted_loss (from tensorflow.contrib.losses.python.losses.loss_ops) is deprecated and will be removed after 2016-12-30.
Instructions for updating:
Use tf.losses.compute_weighted_loss instead.
WARNING:tensorflow:From /usr/local/lib/python2.7/dist-packages/tensorflow/contrib/losses/python/losses/loss_ops.py:151: add_loss (from tensorflow.contrib.losses.python.losses.loss_ops) is deprecated and will be removed after 2016-12-30.
Instructions for updating:
Use tf.losses.add_loss instead.
INFO:tensorflow:Restoring parameters from ./ops_logs/lstm_weather/model.ckpt-200000

In [7]:
#not used in this example but used for seeing deviations
rmse = np.sqrt(((predicted - y['test']) ** 2).mean(axis=0))

score = mean_squared_error(predicted, y['test'])
print ("MSE: %f" % score)


MSE: 0.446543

In [8]:
# plot the data
all_dates = data_weather.index.get_values()

fig, ax = plt.subplots(1)
fig.autofmt_xdate()

predicted_values = predicted.flatten() #already subset
predicted_dates = all_dates[len(all_dates)-len(predicted_values):len(all_dates)]
predicted_series = pd.Series(predicted_values, index=predicted_dates)
plot_predicted, = ax.plot(predicted_series, label='predicted (c)')

test_values = y['test'].flatten()
test_dates = all_dates[len(all_dates)-len(test_values):len(all_dates)]
test_series = pd.Series(test_values, index=test_dates)
plot_test, = ax.plot(test_series, label='2015 (c)')

xfmt = mdates.DateFormatter('%b %d %H')
ax.xaxis.set_major_formatter(xfmt)

# ax.fmt_xdata = mdates.DateFormatter('%Y-%m-%d %H')
plt.title('PDX Weather Predictions for 2016 vs 2015')
plt.legend(handles=[plot_predicted, plot_test])
plt.show()



In [ ]: