Using the readings, try and create a RandomForestClassifier for the iris dataset

Using a 25/75 training/test split, compare the results with the original decision tree model and describe the result to the best of your ability in your PR


In [20]:
import pandas as pd
%matplotlib inline
from sklearn import datasets
from sklearn import tree
from sklearn import metrics
import numpy as np
from sklearn import cross_validation
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier
from sklearn.cross_validation import train_test_split

In [2]:
iris = datasets.load_iris()

In [3]:
iris


Out[3]:
{'DESCR': 'Iris Plants Database\n\nNotes\n-----\nData Set Characteristics:\n    :Number of Instances: 150 (50 in each of three classes)\n    :Number of Attributes: 4 numeric, predictive attributes and the class\n    :Attribute Information:\n        - sepal length in cm\n        - sepal width in cm\n        - petal length in cm\n        - petal width in cm\n        - class:\n                - Iris-Setosa\n                - Iris-Versicolour\n                - Iris-Virginica\n    :Summary Statistics:\n\n    ============== ==== ==== ======= ===== ====================\n                    Min  Max   Mean    SD   Class Correlation\n    ============== ==== ==== ======= ===== ====================\n    sepal length:   4.3  7.9   5.84   0.83    0.7826\n    sepal width:    2.0  4.4   3.05   0.43   -0.4194\n    petal length:   1.0  6.9   3.76   1.76    0.9490  (high!)\n    petal width:    0.1  2.5   1.20  0.76     0.9565  (high!)\n    ============== ==== ==== ======= ===== ====================\n\n    :Missing Attribute Values: None\n    :Class Distribution: 33.3% for each of 3 classes.\n    :Creator: R.A. Fisher\n    :Donor: Michael Marshall (MARSHALL%PLU@io.arc.nasa.gov)\n    :Date: July, 1988\n\nThis is a copy of UCI ML iris datasets.\nhttp://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/datasets/Iris\n\nThe famous Iris database, first used by Sir R.A Fisher\n\nThis is perhaps the best known database to be found in the\npattern recognition literature.  Fisher\'s paper is a classic in the field and\nis referenced frequently to this day.  (See Duda & Hart, for example.)  The\ndata set contains 3 classes of 50 instances each, where each class refers to a\ntype of iris plant.  One class is linearly separable from the other 2; the\nlatter are NOT linearly separable from each other.\n\nReferences\n----------\n   - Fisher,R.A. "The use of multiple measurements in taxonomic problems"\n     Annual Eugenics, 7, Part II, 179-188 (1936); also in "Contributions to\n     Mathematical Statistics" (John Wiley, NY, 1950).\n   - Duda,R.O., & Hart,P.E. (1973) Pattern Classification and Scene Analysis.\n     (Q327.D83) John Wiley & Sons.  ISBN 0-471-22361-1.  See page 218.\n   - Dasarathy, B.V. (1980) "Nosing Around the Neighborhood: A New System\n     Structure and Classification Rule for Recognition in Partially Exposed\n     Environments".  IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine\n     Intelligence, Vol. PAMI-2, No. 1, 67-71.\n   - Gates, G.W. (1972) "The Reduced Nearest Neighbor Rule".  IEEE Transactions\n     on Information Theory, May 1972, 431-433.\n   - See also: 1988 MLC Proceedings, 54-64.  Cheeseman et al"s AUTOCLASS II\n     conceptual clustering system finds 3 classes in the data.\n   - Many, many more ...\n',
 'data': array([[ 5.1,  3.5,  1.4,  0.2],
        [ 4.9,  3. ,  1.4,  0.2],
        [ 4.7,  3.2,  1.3,  0.2],
        [ 4.6,  3.1,  1.5,  0.2],
        [ 5. ,  3.6,  1.4,  0.2],
        [ 5.4,  3.9,  1.7,  0.4],
        [ 4.6,  3.4,  1.4,  0.3],
        [ 5. ,  3.4,  1.5,  0.2],
        [ 4.4,  2.9,  1.4,  0.2],
        [ 4.9,  3.1,  1.5,  0.1],
        [ 5.4,  3.7,  1.5,  0.2],
        [ 4.8,  3.4,  1.6,  0.2],
        [ 4.8,  3. ,  1.4,  0.1],
        [ 4.3,  3. ,  1.1,  0.1],
        [ 5.8,  4. ,  1.2,  0.2],
        [ 5.7,  4.4,  1.5,  0.4],
        [ 5.4,  3.9,  1.3,  0.4],
        [ 5.1,  3.5,  1.4,  0.3],
        [ 5.7,  3.8,  1.7,  0.3],
        [ 5.1,  3.8,  1.5,  0.3],
        [ 5.4,  3.4,  1.7,  0.2],
        [ 5.1,  3.7,  1.5,  0.4],
        [ 4.6,  3.6,  1. ,  0.2],
        [ 5.1,  3.3,  1.7,  0.5],
        [ 4.8,  3.4,  1.9,  0.2],
        [ 5. ,  3. ,  1.6,  0.2],
        [ 5. ,  3.4,  1.6,  0.4],
        [ 5.2,  3.5,  1.5,  0.2],
        [ 5.2,  3.4,  1.4,  0.2],
        [ 4.7,  3.2,  1.6,  0.2],
        [ 4.8,  3.1,  1.6,  0.2],
        [ 5.4,  3.4,  1.5,  0.4],
        [ 5.2,  4.1,  1.5,  0.1],
        [ 5.5,  4.2,  1.4,  0.2],
        [ 4.9,  3.1,  1.5,  0.1],
        [ 5. ,  3.2,  1.2,  0.2],
        [ 5.5,  3.5,  1.3,  0.2],
        [ 4.9,  3.1,  1.5,  0.1],
        [ 4.4,  3. ,  1.3,  0.2],
        [ 5.1,  3.4,  1.5,  0.2],
        [ 5. ,  3.5,  1.3,  0.3],
        [ 4.5,  2.3,  1.3,  0.3],
        [ 4.4,  3.2,  1.3,  0.2],
        [ 5. ,  3.5,  1.6,  0.6],
        [ 5.1,  3.8,  1.9,  0.4],
        [ 4.8,  3. ,  1.4,  0.3],
        [ 5.1,  3.8,  1.6,  0.2],
        [ 4.6,  3.2,  1.4,  0.2],
        [ 5.3,  3.7,  1.5,  0.2],
        [ 5. ,  3.3,  1.4,  0.2],
        [ 7. ,  3.2,  4.7,  1.4],
        [ 6.4,  3.2,  4.5,  1.5],
        [ 6.9,  3.1,  4.9,  1.5],
        [ 5.5,  2.3,  4. ,  1.3],
        [ 6.5,  2.8,  4.6,  1.5],
        [ 5.7,  2.8,  4.5,  1.3],
        [ 6.3,  3.3,  4.7,  1.6],
        [ 4.9,  2.4,  3.3,  1. ],
        [ 6.6,  2.9,  4.6,  1.3],
        [ 5.2,  2.7,  3.9,  1.4],
        [ 5. ,  2. ,  3.5,  1. ],
        [ 5.9,  3. ,  4.2,  1.5],
        [ 6. ,  2.2,  4. ,  1. ],
        [ 6.1,  2.9,  4.7,  1.4],
        [ 5.6,  2.9,  3.6,  1.3],
        [ 6.7,  3.1,  4.4,  1.4],
        [ 5.6,  3. ,  4.5,  1.5],
        [ 5.8,  2.7,  4.1,  1. ],
        [ 6.2,  2.2,  4.5,  1.5],
        [ 5.6,  2.5,  3.9,  1.1],
        [ 5.9,  3.2,  4.8,  1.8],
        [ 6.1,  2.8,  4. ,  1.3],
        [ 6.3,  2.5,  4.9,  1.5],
        [ 6.1,  2.8,  4.7,  1.2],
        [ 6.4,  2.9,  4.3,  1.3],
        [ 6.6,  3. ,  4.4,  1.4],
        [ 6.8,  2.8,  4.8,  1.4],
        [ 6.7,  3. ,  5. ,  1.7],
        [ 6. ,  2.9,  4.5,  1.5],
        [ 5.7,  2.6,  3.5,  1. ],
        [ 5.5,  2.4,  3.8,  1.1],
        [ 5.5,  2.4,  3.7,  1. ],
        [ 5.8,  2.7,  3.9,  1.2],
        [ 6. ,  2.7,  5.1,  1.6],
        [ 5.4,  3. ,  4.5,  1.5],
        [ 6. ,  3.4,  4.5,  1.6],
        [ 6.7,  3.1,  4.7,  1.5],
        [ 6.3,  2.3,  4.4,  1.3],
        [ 5.6,  3. ,  4.1,  1.3],
        [ 5.5,  2.5,  4. ,  1.3],
        [ 5.5,  2.6,  4.4,  1.2],
        [ 6.1,  3. ,  4.6,  1.4],
        [ 5.8,  2.6,  4. ,  1.2],
        [ 5. ,  2.3,  3.3,  1. ],
        [ 5.6,  2.7,  4.2,  1.3],
        [ 5.7,  3. ,  4.2,  1.2],
        [ 5.7,  2.9,  4.2,  1.3],
        [ 6.2,  2.9,  4.3,  1.3],
        [ 5.1,  2.5,  3. ,  1.1],
        [ 5.7,  2.8,  4.1,  1.3],
        [ 6.3,  3.3,  6. ,  2.5],
        [ 5.8,  2.7,  5.1,  1.9],
        [ 7.1,  3. ,  5.9,  2.1],
        [ 6.3,  2.9,  5.6,  1.8],
        [ 6.5,  3. ,  5.8,  2.2],
        [ 7.6,  3. ,  6.6,  2.1],
        [ 4.9,  2.5,  4.5,  1.7],
        [ 7.3,  2.9,  6.3,  1.8],
        [ 6.7,  2.5,  5.8,  1.8],
        [ 7.2,  3.6,  6.1,  2.5],
        [ 6.5,  3.2,  5.1,  2. ],
        [ 6.4,  2.7,  5.3,  1.9],
        [ 6.8,  3. ,  5.5,  2.1],
        [ 5.7,  2.5,  5. ,  2. ],
        [ 5.8,  2.8,  5.1,  2.4],
        [ 6.4,  3.2,  5.3,  2.3],
        [ 6.5,  3. ,  5.5,  1.8],
        [ 7.7,  3.8,  6.7,  2.2],
        [ 7.7,  2.6,  6.9,  2.3],
        [ 6. ,  2.2,  5. ,  1.5],
        [ 6.9,  3.2,  5.7,  2.3],
        [ 5.6,  2.8,  4.9,  2. ],
        [ 7.7,  2.8,  6.7,  2. ],
        [ 6.3,  2.7,  4.9,  1.8],
        [ 6.7,  3.3,  5.7,  2.1],
        [ 7.2,  3.2,  6. ,  1.8],
        [ 6.2,  2.8,  4.8,  1.8],
        [ 6.1,  3. ,  4.9,  1.8],
        [ 6.4,  2.8,  5.6,  2.1],
        [ 7.2,  3. ,  5.8,  1.6],
        [ 7.4,  2.8,  6.1,  1.9],
        [ 7.9,  3.8,  6.4,  2. ],
        [ 6.4,  2.8,  5.6,  2.2],
        [ 6.3,  2.8,  5.1,  1.5],
        [ 6.1,  2.6,  5.6,  1.4],
        [ 7.7,  3. ,  6.1,  2.3],
        [ 6.3,  3.4,  5.6,  2.4],
        [ 6.4,  3.1,  5.5,  1.8],
        [ 6. ,  3. ,  4.8,  1.8],
        [ 6.9,  3.1,  5.4,  2.1],
        [ 6.7,  3.1,  5.6,  2.4],
        [ 6.9,  3.1,  5.1,  2.3],
        [ 5.8,  2.7,  5.1,  1.9],
        [ 6.8,  3.2,  5.9,  2.3],
        [ 6.7,  3.3,  5.7,  2.5],
        [ 6.7,  3. ,  5.2,  2.3],
        [ 6.3,  2.5,  5. ,  1.9],
        [ 6.5,  3. ,  5.2,  2. ],
        [ 6.2,  3.4,  5.4,  2.3],
        [ 5.9,  3. ,  5.1,  1.8]]),
 'feature_names': ['sepal length (cm)',
  'sepal width (cm)',
  'petal length (cm)',
  'petal width (cm)'],
 'target': array([0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,
        0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0,
        0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1,
        1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1,
        1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2,
        2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2,
        2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2]),
 'target_names': array(['setosa', 'versicolor', 'virginica'], 
       dtype='<U10')}

In [14]:
x = iris.data[:,2:] 
y = iris.target

RandomForestClassifier


In [15]:
x_train, x_test, y_train, y_test = cross_validation.train_test_split(x, y, stratify=y,random_state=42)
forest = RandomForestClassifier(n_estimators=5, random_state=2)
forest.fit(x_train, y_train)


Out[15]:
RandomForestClassifier(bootstrap=True, class_weight=None, criterion='gini',
            max_depth=None, max_features='auto', max_leaf_nodes=None,
            min_samples_leaf=1, min_samples_split=2,
            min_weight_fraction_leaf=0.0, n_estimators=5, n_jobs=1,
            oob_score=False, random_state=2, verbose=0, warm_start=False)

In [16]:
print("accuracy on training set: %f" % forest.score(x_train, y_train))
print("accuracy on test set: %f" % forest.score(x_test, y_test))


accuracy on training set: 0.981982
accuracy on test set: 0.923077

Original decision tree model


In [17]:
dt = tree.DecisionTreeClassifier()

In [21]:
x_train, x_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(x,y,test_size=0.25,train_size=0.75)

In [22]:
dt = dt.fit(x_train,y_train)

In [23]:
def measure_performance(X,y,clf, show_accuracy=True, show_classification_report=True, show_confussion_matrix=True):
    y_pred=clf.predict(X)
    if show_accuracy:
        print("Accuracy:{0:.3f}".format(metrics.accuracy_score(y, y_pred)),"\n")
    if show_classification_report:
        print("Classification report")
        print(metrics.classification_report(y,y_pred),"\n")
    if show_confussion_matrix:
        print("Confusion matrix")
        print(metrics.confusion_matrix(y,y_pred),"\n")

In [26]:
measure_performance(x_train,y_train,dt) 
# I measure the performance of my classifier with train data
#The accuracy is 1, which means is 100% accurate. 
#And my confusion matrix is not showing mistakes in the classification


Accuracy:1.000 

Classification report
             precision    recall  f1-score   support

          0       1.00      1.00      1.00        42
          1       1.00      1.00      1.00        36
          2       1.00      1.00      1.00        34

avg / total       1.00      1.00      1.00       112
 

Confusion matrix
[[42  0  0]
 [ 0 36  0]
 [ 0  0 34]] 


In [27]:
measure_performance(x_test,y_test,dt)
# I measure the performance of my classifier with test data
# Accuracy of 100%


Accuracy:0.974 

Classification report
             precision    recall  f1-score   support

          0       1.00      1.00      1.00         8
          1       1.00      0.93      0.96        14
          2       0.94      1.00      0.97        16

avg / total       0.98      0.97      0.97        38
 

Confusion matrix
[[ 8  0  0]
 [ 0 13  1]
 [ 0  0 16]] 

For the RandomForestClassifier

accuracy on training set: 0.981982

accuracy on test set: 0.923077

For the Original decision tree model

accuracy on training set: 1.000

accuracy on test set: 0.974

My main takeaway is that random forests are a way of addressing the problem of overfitting. Decision trees tend to overfit the training data, and since random forests are made up of a number of these decision trees, they are all going to overfit the data in different ways. So what we do is averaging the results of all of the trees in our random forest to get a more accurate fit. The accuracy of the training set for the Random Forest Classifier is of 98% (and I am not sure about the following ...) which means that the model is not overfitting. On the contrary, the accuracy of the training set for the desicion tree model is of 100%, which probably means is overfitting. The accuracy test for the decision tree model is better than the one for the random forest classifier, which confused me a little bit since I was expecting the one for the random forest classifier to be better. If the data is not overfitted, the model is more likely to be more accurate right?


In [ ]: